Daniel Eran Dilger
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How Oracle might kill Google’s Android and software patents all at once

Daniel Eran Dilger

Another major war is exploding in the tech world, but alliances have shifted in interesting enough ways to ensure that this will be one of the most fascinating events ever to hit the technology world.
At issue is Oracle’s patent lawsuit against Google’s Android. Unless you look closely, this might sound like either a run of the mill patent shakedown or just an infringement case where Google will have to pay lots of money.

It’s far more interesting than that.

Pay attention to the man behind the curtain

Think of Apple’s recent skirmishes with Adobe or HTC: media wonks always like to personify the company as the corporate representation of Steve Jobs, turning every engineering decision or intellectual property issue into simply a flippant or arrogant grudge maintained by the biggest personality in the tech world.

Well we can do the same here, because Oracle’s Larry Ellison isn’t just more eccentric than Jobs (Ellison lives as a fantasy samurai in a medieval Japanese villa; Jobs just wears a turtleneck), he’s also Jobs’ long term friend, neighbor and business associate. Since the 1990s, Jobs has frequently referred to Ellison as his “best friend” and “idol,” while Ellison has been a long term enemy to Apple’s arch-rival Microsoft, acting as one of the few CEOs with the balls to testify against the company at its Monopoly trial.

On the surface, one could make the case that Oracle is stepping in to partner with Apple in striking down the Microsoft-like advances of Google’s broadly licensed Android monoculture. However, Google isn’t actually aligned with Microsoft, and is instead helping Apple kill off Windows Mobile and the Windows/Internet Explorer monopoly, confusing the direction of knee jerks by Windows Enthusiasts following the case.

Major developer turns attention to Google’s Android

Not an open and shut case

In addition to being outside the convenient definition of a Microsoft vs non-Microsoft war, Oracle vs Google also fails to fit into the customary pattern of Open vs Closed.

Recall that when Adobe flipped out on Apple for not holding up the release of iPad to wait for the still non-functional mobile version of Flash, it was portrayed by the ignorant media as a clear cut case of the “closed” Apple stifling innovation by not embracing the “open” Flash, even though Adobe’s proprietary Flash isn’t open at all.

All of the clever but dishonest rhetoric filed in support of Flash did manage to blind the tech-liberal fringe into vociferously opposing Apple’s plans to promote web standards in place of a proprietary web plugin however. It appears the same bunch are being deluded into thinking that Google is the open side of this new conflict, and that Oracle is the big, old and closed company they should vilify in their blog comment advocacy.

In reality, Oracle is a major proponent of open software, pushing Linux and taking a stand against the notion of software patents themselves. Yes, that’s right, the company filing the year’s biggest software patent infringement case is also a major critic of the idea of software patents in general. When somebody points a gun at you, you point one back even if you don’t like the idea of guns. You might even shoot first.

Oracle likes Linux so much that it funds Btrfs, a GPL licensed, futuristic and advanced new file system that supports pooling, snapshots, checksums, and other features that sound a lot like Sun’s ZFS, which Oracle now also owns. The difference is that Oracle didn’t mire Btrfs in legal quandary the way Sun did with ZFS before Oracle bought them.

That fact not only highlights that Oracle is just as “open source friendly” as Google, but that it’s also more responsible in developing open source software in such a way that it doesn’t recklessly expose itself to being sued the way Sun did, or the way Google did.

Adobe’s Flash monopoly game against Apple
Groklaw – The Oracle-Google Mess

How Google shot itself in the face

Speaking of Sun and Google, the matter at issue with Oracle is that Google took Sun’s Java and modified it to the point where it thought it wouldn’t have to pay Sun to license Java within Android.

Google could have taken the open version of Java released under the GPL and done just this, but it didn’t. Instead, it developed its own code to make a Java clone that wasn’t really Java, and therefore neither bound by Sun’s commercial licensing nor the terms of GPL-Java. The problem is that Oracle is claiming that Google’s Java clone infringes upon Sun intellectual property, which Oracle now owns.

Oracle’s purchase of Sun was likely done in part to get the Java intellectual property that could be used by Oracle to stab Google in the face. And yes, Oracle isn’t just after money, it’s after blood. In its complaint, Oracle does’t just demand monetary infringement damages, it’s seeking to have any code that is found to infringe upon Oracle’s copyrights “impounded and destroyed.”

How Oracle is shooting Google in the face

That’s going to result in a dark cloud over the already dismal climate of the Android software platform. Sure, users are buying Android phones now in the US on Verizon, but that’s largely because there are no other phones for Verizon to sell. There are no popular Symbian CDMA phones, Windows Mobile has fallen into a black hole waiting for Microsoft to resurrect its platform as “Windows Phone 7,” Palm has been taken inside HP where it will likely die under the non-direction of its missing chief executive, and RIM’s BlackBerry is growing long in the tooth. What on earth is Verizon supposed to be selling?

Once the iPhone and other platforms reach Verizon over the next six months, Android’s sales will scale back down domestically, and all the platform will have to recommend itself is a lot of adware, malware, copyright violations and fraudware pushed underhanded developers looking to bilk an audience in a market with no curator. On top of all this, it will also have a top software maker seeking to eviscerate its core development platform, necessitating a significant reworking of what Android even is. Who wants to invest in development for that? Especially if all your work is just going to be pirated by all the Android freetards.

People freak out about the “threat” Apple is exposed to when somebody claims a name it may use (like iTV – anyone else think Apple might instead call it the “iPod TV” instead, duh?), but imagine if Microsoft suddenly claimed that Apple had stolen the entire kernel from Windows to make Mac OS X and that it wanted the company to write a new one going forward. That would be a more significant problem than a name argument. Well that’s exactly what Oracle is demanding here: Google, hand over Android’s brain and start over writing a new one. And good luck with that.

Inside Google’s Android and Apple’s iPhone OS as software markets

But Google doesn’t ever make mistakes!

The likelihood of Android code infringing upon Oracle’s acquired Sun intellectual property is rather high, given that Google’s current CEO Eric Schmidt led the team that developed Java at Sun before arriving at Google in 2001, and that Google hired up plenty of Sun engineers. How exactly did these people manage to ‘clean room’ Android?

Oh, you might naively say, but wouldn’t a company like Google do all sorts of due diligence to prevent even the appearance of infringement? Seriously? We’re talking about the company that bought On2 and rushed its MPEG-4 aping VP8 into a “new” alternative WebM codec over the course of just a few months, assuring everyone that the ISO patent pool covering every stitch of the state of the art in video compression and delivery wouldn’t’ be an issue at all. The same company that cloned the iPhone without much regard to Apple’s patents, enabling the iPhone maker to immediately launch a lawsuit involving at least 20 patents at Android maker HTC.

Google doesn’t even have any experience in creating software platforms, having only ever launched a series of web apps and services that are supported by its single revenue machine: paid search, an idea that it appropriated from Overture! Recall that, in a “this all happened before” kind of way, Yahoo bought Overture and then used its new aggrieved subsidiary to demand 2.7 million shares of Google to license the rights to paid search. Google is nothing but a series of infringements snowballed together.

Why Does Microsoft Really Want Yahoo?

Anyone who thinks Google looks before it leaps has forgotten that Google only ever leaps, buying up regular new companies on a schedule rather than with a strategy, and blowing out one failed project after another (Answers, Base, Buzz, Catalogs, Dodgeball, Jaiku, Knol, Lively, Notebook, Orkut, Sidewiki, the Nexus One, Google Video, Wave, ad naseum). Google acts like a white trash family who won the world’s largest lottery, which is why it behaves just like Microsoft. Some companies actually early their revenues in a competitive marketplace, and have for generations of technology, like say, Apple.

Google I/O 2010 takes on Apple with PlaysForSure strategies

The software patent war to end all wars

If Oracle is successful in its bid to “impound and destroy” the heart of Google’s Android, it might result in more than just a massive upheaval of the smartphone industry and a congratulatory high fiving between Jobs and Ellison. It might also result in a concerted effort by Google to join Oracle and other tech giants to decommission the nuclear threat of software patent proliferation in the future.

That would have even a bigger impact on the tech world going forward. Without the squabble over Google’s Dalvik flavor of Java inside Android, there likely wouldn’t ever be enough at stake to devote sufficient political will and financial capital to ending software patents.

Back in 1994, Oracle testified at a United States Patent and Trademark Office hearing on software patents:

“Oracle Corporation opposes the patentability of software. The Company believes that existing copyright law and available trade secret protections, as opposed to patent law, are better suited to protecting computer software developments.

”Patent law provides to inventors an exclusive right to new technology in return for publication of the technology. This is not appropriate for industries such as software development in which innovations occur rapidly, can be made without a substantial capital investment, and tend to be creative combinations of previously-known techniques.

“Even if patent law were appropriate for protection of software, due to the large volume of recently-granted software patents and the rising number of new applications, the current patent process would continue to be troublesome for the software industry. Software patent examinations are hindered by the limited capability of searching prior art, by the turnover rate among examiners in the Patent and Trademark Office, and by the confusion surrounding novelty and innovation in the software arena. The problem is exacerbated by varying international patent laws, which both raise the cost and confuse the issue of patent protection.

”Unfortunately, as a defensive strategy, Oracle has been forced to protect itself by selectively applying for patents which will present the best opportunities for cross-licensing between Oracle and other companies who may allege patent infringement.“

The company went on to outline what the USPTO could do to improve upon software patents even if it did not follow Oracle’s advice in ending software patents entirely. These suggestions included ”vastly improving“ prior art capabilities of PTO records ”to confirm effectively the novelty and non-obviousness of software patents,“ speeding up the patent review process so that the patents are not in wide use or obsolete by the time they are granted, ensuring examiners are skilled in computer science and software programing, and setting standards of novelty and non-obviousness governing new patent applications.

None of those recommendations seem to have been implemented by the USPTO in the 16 years since.

1994 Oracle Testimony on Software Patents

I’m going on a trip through Europe next month. Paris, Lisbon, Madrid, San Sebastian, and Barcelona for two weeks, then Prague and a few other places after that through the end of September. Any suggestions?

  • daveynb

    “…Any suggestions?”
    Yes, be careful!
    And keep in touch!

  • Pooter

    If you’re into wine, I recommend stopping off in Northeastern Italy (Friuli Venezia Giulia) region — some of the best wines in Italy that don’t get exported much, a climate very much like Seattle between the Adriatic Sea and the Alps. Venice might be a bit dodgy, that’s best done in non-peak tourist months, but Vienna should be on your way too if you’re taking the train to Prague. Let me know if you want me to hook you up with any computer-savvy Italians around the Udine region (a couple hours north of Venice, on the train route to Vienna/Prague).

  • Mike

    Jesus, you make it sound like a conspiracy theory. I’m not quite sure what the motive of Oracle would be to destroy Android, nor have you given one. Sure, I can believe that they (Google) have infringed on Oracle’s copyrights and software patents. I can even believe that Oracle could potentially kill off Android with this suit. But to say that Oracle is not after just the money is probably BS, unless you give me more than hand-waving to justify why. And the other beneficiary of killing off Android would actually be Windows Phone 7, ironically enough. Since phone manufacturers aren’t likely to have the expertise to compete with Apple and write their own sophisticated OS in a couple years, who else would they partner with? Symbian? Clearly not, that’s on it’s way down. There just aren’t any choices left for those manufacturers, they’ll partner with Android and Windows Phone 7, even if it’s to their detriment in the long run (because Microsoft has expressed the intent to lower hardware profits to the bare minimum just as on the PC).

    Frankly, lots of people will continue to buy other phones simply because they’re CHEAPER and available on other carriers. But obviously one of those reasons will disappear over time with or without the help of Oracle, so I can’t see how this has a direct impact on Apple. More likely it has an impact on Microsoft, because that means Android is one less effective competitor to compete against its OS for attention with phone manufacturers.

    The software patent thing is unlikely to change… it hasn’t changed when Microsoft sued Linux (and lost with the SCO debacle), so if a major event like that doesn’t change the system, I doubt this one will. Of course, the future is unknown, so it could, but there are definitely reasons to think that it most likely won’t be reformed.

  • ShabbaRanks

    Not read the article yet, will do soon. Just wanted to say that I’m glad you’re back.
    Heal hand… heal!

  • stormj

    This article is a great catharsis for me after months of reading Apple bashing and Google triumphalism. You so totally nailed it: like a white trash family that won the lottery.

    Though you really should consider writing your blog on a Wave.

  • http://karunaltea.org db

    San Sebastian has the best food of Spain, two beaches and WAVES. They can be really high. Lots of surfers. Beach for Surfing is Gros. La Concha is great for the kids. It is more protected. Old town with it their TAPAS is world famous. Best vine.
    Like Sahbba said: Heal hand, heal.

  • http://www.roughlydrafted.com danieleran

    @Mike: a conspiracy theory is a complicated explanation involving many parties acting in concert. Not sure what gave you that impression, perhaps you just pulled out a boilerplate DED complaint from the AI files.

    The rest of the world is using Symbian. The US is using Android because it’s available an convenient. Getting embroiled in a lawsuit will certainly impact that.

    The SCO lawsuit wasn’t related to patents, it was entirely copyright. Same with the Apple look and feel lawsuits. This is a major patent case used offensively. It is new.

    Oh and be nice dude. I don’t want my comments section turning mean and rude like AI. Let’s keep it smart and classy. Thanks

  • Mark Hernandez

    Hey everyone, if you haven’t clicked on the Groklaw link and read that page, please don’t pass it up!

    Daniel’s posts always try to pound in our heads that most people’s view of what is happening in our industry is viewed far too simplistically. The people in the tech blogs constantly oversimplify, yet think they’re explaining to us what’s really going on.

    The geek on the street hasn’t a clue as to what the tech giants really know about and deal with behind the scenes. Daniel always seems to show us that the world is much more involved than we perceive it to be, and geeks are often the worst when it comes to understanding and discussing complex issues.

  • Mark Hernandez

    There are parallels here to what is happening with the gay marriage issue in California. Whenever lawyers or a legislature deals with a gay rights issue, they always rule in favor of gay rights because they are able to deal with the complexity of the arguments. But in ALL 31 of the states that put gay marriage to a public vote, the populace voted against it. The parallel here is related to the complexity of the issue, and taking advantage of those who cannot deal with the least bit of complexity and react out of irrational fear.

    Likewise, we are about to watch all the geeks and tech pundits get it wrong. All the chickens in the hen house are about to start going crazy and think the sky is falling, which is probably what is hoped for by a certain industry giant. :-)

  • dchu220

    Hope your hand gets better soon. I’m sure a lot of us were wondering whynthere weren’t any updates.

  • sprockkets

    “Some companies actually early their revenues in a competitive marketplace, and have for generations of technology, like say, Apple.”

    earn instead of early?

  • bft

    “Google acts like a white trash family who won the world’s largest lottery, which is why it behaves just like Microsoft.”

    Love it. Nice to see that the spirit of Hunter S. Thompson lives on!

  • http://www.applemanifesto.com dperez82

    If you are going to be in Barcelona, you have to see La Sagrada Familia. The architecture is amazing – http://www.sagradafamilia.cat/

  • Tomas Kolar

    Hm, I didn’t think about this affair in that way “…to decommission the nuclear threat of software patent proliferation in the future.”. Intriguing idea in any case.

    About the suggestions – what are you intrested in Prague, I can give you some tips. You can also visit Český Krumlov on the way from Vienna to Prague, it’s small medieval city. If you are interested in nature, there is a basin full of ponds near Č.K. called Třeboňsko – really nice area.

  • brew57

    I know Larry may want to help out a friend, but looking out for it’s business interests, wouldn’t Oracle be more likely after trying to extract royalties and thus participate in Android’s success? I am sure Android hardware vendors, given alternatives, would gladly pay, say $10 per device? That would mean a few billions down the road for Oracle. They are much more likely after the $$ then anything else.

  • NickAttwood

    If you are going to Barcelona, you should take a trip to Girona, an hour north…magical.

  • bartuch

    Any suggestions? Well, being in Prague, you should take a look at Cracow or Wroclaw, one of the most beautiful cities in Poland. I think you can get there by local airlines very fast.

  • vlcn500

    Glad to have another article! Registered with “any suggestions…”, of course I do. Marry me damn it!

  • dchu220

    It’s also about competition for Oracle’s Java ME (the mobile version of Java). In a way, Android is creating a fork in their Java platform and taking away revenue from companies who would normally license that platform. It is Oracle’s best interest to keep their platform congruent as well.

  • Corrado

    Hello Dan,
    Regarding your travels: Italy is great in September. Wonderful food and even better wine. DO NOT ride a motorbike, in fact just don’t drive anything and remember that pedestrians are just a moving target, but it is a great place.
    I just want you to know that your writing is keeping me not only informed, but sane also. I learn a lot.
    Cheers and enjoy your vacation.

  • http://www.gutscheine.me Gutscheine

    it was a pleasure to read this post. You are one of the few informed people that don’t follow mindlessly the media’s FUD. It’s really a shame to see that so many people who should know better think Google are the “good” guys.

  • Ludor

    With my narrow, simple view on the world, I’d say there’s only a slim chance of war between Oracle and Google – and we do dream of disruption, don’t we? Aren’t matters like these mostly settled by compromise that somehow permits business as usual? But it’s an intriguing thought, admittedly.

    You’d also wonder, if Oracle were to break Android’s back, if Microsoft would be able to get back into the mobile game at all with Windows Phone 7. (As Daniel has often said, they’re not really good at selling to consumers. But maybe they’re getting better?)

    Also Daniel, I realized recently that you occasionally employ horror movie metaphors in your analysis. Let me say that it works excellently.

  • Geoduck

    Your European trip I’d suggest staying south. You might think about Istanbul. Topkapi Palace, Hagia Sophia, The Blue Mosque, the list goes on and on. While you’re in the area a swing through Greece, The Parthanon, Delphai, Olympia, maybe Crete. It’s warm, the people are friendly.

  • synopsi

    @daniel: we’ll very happy if you’ll come to visit us to Bratislava (Slovakia) near Vienna. You can contact me at my email, i can suggest you an hotel and introduce you to a IT community here.

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  • jkb

    Madrid sucks, but there are many day-trips you can take from there: Toledo, Salamanca, Segovia. Segovia has a long-ass aqueduct in the middle of town and a cool castle.



    Don’t forget to order the roast piglet.


    @sprockkets: Probably Daniel wrote it on his iPhone with autocorrect on.

    There’s a lot of interesting cities in Europe (i’m from Amsterdam myself, aka Sodom and Gomorra). Daniel has made a good choice. I visited San Sebastian a long time ago, and i still remember the beautiful beach.

  • primerib

    Daniel welcome back! Nice to hear from you on your own blog again, and hope you heal soon. As for Europe, Barcelona is my favorite city in Spain, but if you want something cool but different, check out the Baleares islands (specifically Ibiza and Mallorca.) The scene in Ibiza should still be pretty good that time of year, and Mallorca is a calm, beautiful, and relaxing place. (Also there’s a city there called Inca which is known for its leather factories, and the prices are dirt-cheap compared to what we pay in the U.S.) While you’re in Barcelona, if you get the chance head over to a restaurant called “Moncho’s Barcelona”, at 44-46 Travessera de Gràcia. They give you a ton of really good food at an unbelievable price. (I have to say it’s been several years since I’ve been there, but the prices should still be low.)

    I’ve always called Europe my home away from home, but I’m currently doing a stint in Asia, and hearing all the great European travel suggestions from your readers is making me “home-sick…”

    Hope you have a great time!

  • Geoduck

    One more suggestion:
    I found Brussels quite uninteresting but it is is in the middle of everything. We took day trips to Cologne, Brugge, Delft, Waterloo, Bastogne and such. Not sure what the deal with Brussels itself is but when the biggest tourist attraction is a statue of a kid taking a leak it’s not a good start.

  • ssge

    The end of all patents will mean that Android can ship as is, no?

    I suppose it would work like that in Upside Down Land, where cause and effect are reversed. – Dan

  • radumas

    My first impression of this suit is that Larry is doing Steve a favor.

    It’s more likely that since Oracle has a bag of assets from the Sun purchase that it needs to protect. The tried and true method of protecting assets is to threaten nuclear war on anyone encroaching on your territory in full expectation that there will be a payoff and a licensing arrangement that validates the owner’s rights.

    Oracle doesn’t gain anything by killing Android, but does by threatening to kill it.

    [Oracle certainly gains from killing Android. Oracle now owns Sun’s Java ME, the mobile platform Android supplanted. – Dan]

  • trenebulax

    Hi Dan,

    I live in Gent, Belgium. Quite close to Brussels/Brugge/Paris/Amsterdam/Koln etc. Don’t spend too much time in the south. The north has a lot to offer. Copenhagen, Stockholm, Moscow, Oslo,London,Berlin,etc . Try to read up on some history of Europe (unless you knowledge on that subject is already at acceptable level). It will make your trip a lot more valuable. It all depends on your interests of course…

    Great article btw.



  • radumas

    [Oracle certainly gains from killing Android. Oracle now owns Sun’s Java ME, the mobile platform Android supplanted. – Dan]

    au contraire: a dead subject pays no tribute. Better outcomes for Oracle are for Google to acknowledge Oracle owns the software and pays tribute OR Google switches to the real Java and pays tribute.

    The “pays tribute” is part of the outcome Oracle needs. Another part involves Schmidt admitting he’s Larry’s beyatch.

  • ericgen


    Actually, I believe that Dan’s point is that Oracle does actually benefit from killing Android. If all of the Android handset makers no longer have Android to use (and, if Oracle wins, they will also all have large liabilities owed to Oracle), then the handset makers’ simplest path might be to license Java ME from Oracle. Oracle could also make this much sweeter for them by ‘forgiving’ some or all of their accumulated liabilities from having used Android, pending, of course, a large continual purchase agreement for Java ME.

    Google’s unlikely to license Java ME from Oracle and then give it away free to the handset makers. But, the handset makers will still need an operating system and they’ll have to buy it from someone. And, if Oracle wins, Google will end up paying for each and every copy of Android that they’ve been boasting as having been activated.

    Oracle would get an immediate large sum from Google just for all past usage of its IP. And, it would get a continuing revenue stream from all of the Android handset makers for their use of Java ME. If Oracle wins, Google loses big time and the handset makers go back to having to make regular payments for the OS.

    It’s still a big ‘if’ for Oracle to win, but there’s clearly incentive for them to try.

  • navalopera

    Good article! Worth the wait. Write again soon!
    In Paris, check out the little-known technology-freak’s heaven: Musée des Arts et Métiers.


  • Caccia

    if you’re into seafood, don’t miss the Paradeta restaurant in Barcelona. Also, you definitely need to try the local paella, my advice is to order one at Salamanca.
    Here’s a map link, they’re both in areas worth visiting.

  • radumas

    the scenario you depict is an example of what I describe. After Larry has had his way, Android will continue to exist, the Android phones continue to exist, and Oracle has inserted a tube into the blood flow of that platform to suck money out without completely killing the host.

    A protracted suit will benefit Apple in creating FUD around Android, and drive people to iPhone.

  • donarb

    There’s another part of this story not mentioned. Microsoft sued HTC over their Android phones and has licensed technology to HTC. The figure is reported to be $10-$15 per phone. If Oracle prevails, maybe HTC could license Java for less than what they’re paying Microsoft.

  • http://andre-lobo.nome.pt wolfy_

    Yes, in Lisbon go to Bairro Alto at Friday night or Saturday night. The good stuff starts after de mid night

  • ericgen


    I’m not sure Android would still exist if Oracle wins. Why would Google be willing to pay Oracle a license fee for every Android license and then give it away for free? Are the ads they sell going to make up for paying for each license?

    If Google isn’t subsidizing the OS cost for the handset makers, why wouldn’t they just go ahead and license Java ME?

    Right now the handset makers are getting Android for ‘free’. Yet, it may turn out to be a very expensive ‘free’. Why wouldn’t they go ahead and cut their exposure by licensing Java ME? Particularly if they have to, or believe that they’re going to have to, pay for Android.

  • http://edwinarneson.com/ earneson

    For cultural activities, I’d suggest:
    Paris: Palace of Versailles, Sainte-Chapelle
    Madrid: Palacio Real, Museo del Prado, Royal Tapestry Factory, El Escorial
    Barcelona: Montjuïc Castle

    Food: menu del dia at lunch time

    In over 40 days in various places in western Europe, the only 2 times I observed/encountered pick-pockets were the metros in Madrid and Barcelona.

  • vlcn500

    One quick question… let’s say Android is stopped. Will the chinese products using it continue to flood the market regardless?

  • jaypres

    After all the dust settle, Google will be back to a search company again.

  • Mike

    Daniel, I love your articles, so much so that I actually probably am one of the few that donate yearly. I just don’t see how it impacts Oracle to sue Google, besides monetarily. And no, I didn’t pull any sort of complaint from AI, I simply thought so because you said that Oracle was going for blood. I’m simply asking why you think that.

    But I agree completely that Google will be affected hugely by this suit, regardless of how it plays out.

  • Mike

    Well that and it sounded like a conspiracy theory because you said Oracle’s CEO and Steve Jobs were very good friends and then there was this quote:
    “If Oracle is successful in its bid to “impound and destroy” the heart of Google’s Android, it might result in more than just a massive upheaval of the smartphone industry and a congratulatory high fiving between Jobs and Ellison.”

    Maybe I need a bit of a history lesson here?

  • WaltFrench

    “And yes, Oracle isn’t just after money, it’s after blood.”

    As a shareholder of Oracle, I’d be pretty upset if I thought you had a shred of evidence to support what you are saying.

    Oracle just spent about $7 billion to buy Sun, much of it for its patent portfolio. No CEO would be so deranged as to believe that he could get away with spending shareholder money to go on a scorched-earth campaign that has the risk of utterly destroying its reputation and client goodwill.

    Oracle may want just to share in Android’s success; $10 per copy sounds a bit rich because that would drive everybody to WinPhone7, which will have a similar price point. That wouldn’t be terribly profitable for Oracle, who could have a 8- or 9-figure legal bill for this. Or, they might think that their JavaME business, which has had something like a $700 million/year falloff, would come back if they simply drove Android out of business; that’d be more foolish than I’d imagine, too.

    Frankly, I’m having a problem seeing an outcome that’d be worth the certain cost, alienation of their large open-source business customers, and risk of failure. There must be something more, but I don’t think the pound of flesh is it.

  • Mark Hernandez

    No one has mentioned how many years this legal engagement is going to take, and if it takes years, a lot can happen in that amount of time.

  • Mark Hernandez

    I think most people agree that the Android platform will eventually “outnumber” the iPhone platform, if it hasn’t already. There are many different metrics, e.g. activations per day, apps in the app store, handsets sold, etc. And it gets complicated because Apple will have to “change the conversation” from quantity to quality somehow. But the fact remains that the common person, the “customer” will likely never be reprogrammed away from their conditioned response that “he who has the most must be better.”

  • gctwnl

    “Google is nothing but a series of infringements snowballed together.” – funny.

    “one failed project after another (Answers, Base, Buzz, Catalogs, Dodgeball, Jaiku, Knol, Lively, Notebook, Orkut, Sidewiki, the Nexus One, Google Video, Wave, ad naseum).” – very funny. By the way, it is “ad nauseam”

    Wrt suggestions: come have a beer in The Netherlands (close to Aachen, Germany, the old capital of Charlemagne), feel free to stay a few nights and hike in the very nice countryside we have here.

    Near Barcelona: Figueiras has the Dali Museum (he was born there). In Paris: go to Ile St-Louis, there is a fine Alsacian cafe/restaurant there where they have a very good Alsacian ‘choucroute’ (Sauerkraut), but that last only if you’re not vegetarian.

  • ChuckO

    Mark Hernandez 47,
    A few problems with your arguments as they are very popular when people discuss iPhone/Android:
    1. Those Android sales are across multiple vendors (Motorola,HTC,etc.) so the profits are spread out as opposed to Apple and iOS where iPhone, iPod Touch, iPad, etc. sales all help
    support each other which is especially important with Apple’s love of owning as much of the platform as it can will have serious repercussions for Android makers over time as they will have less profits to reinvest in competing against Apple’s innovations.
    2. Smart phones will probably be much less “sticky” than the iPod meaning people will be more likely to switch platforms over time. This is probably more true for Android than iPhone as iPhone is the most likely to be a “sticky” smartphone platform for the same reasons people have stuck with the iPod.